Service Plays Wednesday 5/12/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post Picks ONLY for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Check out threads below created by bostonfanbarca, might be useful information for everyone.

Service Tracking


Hot/Cold Capper Consensus 5/11

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins (-260, 5.5)

The Montreal Canadiens got a huge lift from the crowd in a must-win Game 6 at the Bell Centre Monday night. The 21,000 screaming fans stood and waved towels throughout the game, including for an entire commercial break, and were rewarded with a 4-3 Canadiens victory, forcing a Game 7 at Mellon Arena.

“When it gets loud, you can’t hear your teammates out there, but you’ve got to keep your composure,” Penguins forward Craig Adams told the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. “Those are the momentum swings that happen in every game.”

But even more problematic for the Pens has been the impressive performance of diminutive Habs forward Michael Cammalleri, who notched his 10th and 11th goals of the playoffs Monday night. After going scoreless in the last nine games of the regular season, Cammalleri found his stride at exactly the right time.

“I guess I saved some for the playoffs”, Cammalleri told the Canadian Press. “When (the puck) is going in, everything goes in, and when it doesn’t, nothing does. That’s how it goes for goal-scorers.”

Sidney Crosby may have ended his four-year scoring drought in Montreal by netting Pittsburgh’s first goal of the night, but the Penguins’ young star has been well contained by the Habs in this series. Crosby even showed some signs of frustration when he delivered a post-game cross check to Tomas Plekanec after Monday’s tilt.

Expect the Habs defense to tighten up even more on the Penguins’ forwards, especially if defensemen Hal Gill and Andrei Markov, both listed as questionable for Wednesday’s Game 7, are back in the lineup.

Pick: Canadiens


Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers (-165, 5)

The Philadelphia Flyers aren’t going away. After falling behind 3-0 in their series against the Boston Bruins, most thought the Flyers were done. But they earned a 5-4 overtime win in Game 4 which gave them enough confidence to rout the Bruins 4-0 in Game 5 Monday night.

Philadelphia got a huge scare Monday when goalie Brian Boucher went down with injuries to both his knees in the second period. Michael Leighton, who hadn’t played since suffering a high ankle sprain March 16, took over in net with the Flyers clinging to a 1-0 lead. He made 14 saves to preserve the shutout.

“The first few minutes, I was pretty nervous”, Leighton told the Philadelphia Daily News. “You’re one mistake away from tying it up and it’s a different ball game. But we scored some goals and played well defensively… and made things easier.”

The Flyers have dealt with injuries throughout the regular season and the playoffs. But every time one player goes down another one steps up.

“The path that we’ve taken is not the ideal path, but it is our path,” head coach Peter Laviolette told the Philadelphia Daily News. “Guys have answered the bell every step of the way. We’re still here.”

Expect them to answer the bell once again in front of an appreciative home crowd Wednesday night.

Pick: Flyers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What bettors need to know: Canadiens at Penguins

Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins (-260, 5.5)

Series tied at 3-3.

Who’s the biggest threat?

Heading into this Eastern Conference semifinal, all the attention was on Penguins' superstars Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin and how the Canadiens planned to stop them.

Perhaps the media should have focused on Montreal forward Mike Cammalleri and how Pittsburgh would handle the diminutive center. Cammalleri is a one-man wrecking crew this postseason, putting up 16 points (11 goals, five assists) – six of those goals coming against the Penguins. To put his contributions into perspective: Montreal has only scored 14 goals this series.

Cammalleri added to his goal total with a pair of scores in Monday’s 4-3 win in Game 6, tying the series at 3-3 and sending the conference semifinal back to the Steel City for Game 7 Wednesday night. He opened scoring just over a minute into the contest then added another goal mid way through the second period.

"It feels good," Cammalleri told the media. "I try to sit and dwell on things like that, but we need goals to win right now. Nothing really matters up until now. Now all that matters is how you prepare for Game 7. It is great, but none of it really matters right now."

This will be the Habs’ second Game 7 showdown of the playoffs. They eliminated the No. 1 ranked Washington Capitals with a 2-1 victory in Game 7 in the first round.

Sidney sighting

After going nearly unnoticed in the first five games of the series, Crosby finally showed up on the score sheet in Game 6 Monday.

He netted a first-period gem and added an assist on Kristopher Letang’s power-play goal in the second period to up his point total to a measly five points in six games against Montreal. Crosby came into the second round of the playoffs on fire, putting up 14 points (five goals, nine assists) versus the Ottawa Senators in the conference quarterfinals.

"It was nice to see one go in," Crosby told the Toronto Sun after Game 6. "You work hard to get chances, so yeah, for sure, it always feels good to score."

Crosby isn’t just missing chances or getting stumped by red-hot Canadiens goalie Jaroslav Halak. Montreal has done an incredible job keeping an eye on the Penguins captain, limiting him to just 12 shots on goal for the series. He has been held to one shot in four of the six games versus the Canadiens.

"That wasn't something that I kept thinking about," Crosby told reporters when asked about his scoring slump. "I just wanted to generate more and more (chances)."

Crosby’s partner in crime, Malkin, has also been a no-show for most of the conference semis. The hulking forward has just one goal and two assists with a minus-2 plus/minus rating. Malkin picked up eight points in the six games against the Senators.

"I think everybody's playing well," Letang told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette in defense of his teammates.

"We all look at statistics and numbers. I think in the playoffs that's not a good way (to judge players). You should look at the work they do on the ice, the space they create for us. I think they've been playing well."

Offensive defense

Whether or not the finger should be pointing at the Pittsburgh blueline or goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury, something needs to happen to the Penguins defense between now and the end of Game 7 Wednesday.

Pittsburgh gave up four goals on just 25 shots Monday night, including watching the Habs score on their very first shot of the game. Montreal’s frontline did a great job of crowding Fleury’s crease while the Pittsburgh defense appeared to screen their own goaltender at times. The Pens blueline was careless with the puck and paid for its sloppy play.

"If you look at all four of their goals, it was our turnovers [that caused them]," defenseman Brooks Orpik told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. "It wasn't them creating much in our zone. It was us not managing the puck well. We turned the puck over four times, and they scored four times."

Fleury has been inconsistent over the course of the second round. He put up stellar performances in Games 3 and 5 but has allowed three or more goals in the four other contests. He’s been in the shadow of counterpart Jaroslav Halak, who has put Montreal on his back in the playoffs.

Fleury is facing an average of 25.5 shots per game in the second round while Halak is being peppered with almost 31 shots a night versus the Penguins, boasting a 2.45 goals against average and a .922 save percentage in the conference semifinals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals (-175, 8.5)

The Astros offense just got worse, if that was possible.

Michael Bourn was given an ultimatum Tuesday: don’t bump MLB umpires when arguing or don’t come to the ballpark.

Houston’s centerfielder was suspended by the league for two games for "aggressive actions" that included making physical contact with umpire Alfonso Marquez during Saturday's game.

Bourn claimed that the contact was accidental. He appealed the suspension and was in the lineup Tuesday night. Bettors will need to check Wednesday to see if Bourn will be sitting or not.

But Houston’s offense is so bad it might not matter whether Bourn is in the lineup. The ‘Stros are last in the majors in nearly every hitting category and are averaging 2.7 runs per game. That production has equated to an over/under mark of 9-20-2 (1-7-1 on the road).

Bourn is the sparkplug of Houston’s offense with a .284 average and 11 stolen bases and if he’s not around this team from Texas will be lucky to post a crooked number on the scoreboard.

Pick: Under


Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (+105, 9.5)

After suffering through an injury-plagued 2009 that left almost no team desiring him, Kelly Johnson has resurrected his career in Arizona.

Johnson is currently tied for the National League lead in home runs with 10, is fifth in slugging percentage and is hitting .306 against left-handed pitchers, as a lefty.

"The beauty of Kelly is he does all of this without a speck of athletic ability," said teammate Adam LaRoche. "I tell him all the time, 'Making the most out of nothing is what you do.'"

Kelly has contributed to the surprising, robust offense of the Diamondbacks from the leadoff spot. Zona ranks second in HRs, fourth in RBIs and sixth in runs scored.

These teams have been two of the most profitable for over bettors this season. L.A. came into Tuesday’s action with a 20-12 over/under record while the Snakes were 21-11-1.

Weather conditions will be perfect for balls to fly out of Chase Field Wednesday night.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NY Players Clubs 5/12

3* Soccer Play on Atletico Madrid to WIN

MLB 5/12/10

2* on Milwaukee Brewers -155
2* on Seattle/Baltimore OVER 9
2* on Dodgers -125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JM MLB system 12/5 (Morrison)

Baltimore B bet

SF Giants B bet (moneyline)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sampicks 5/12

Europe - Europa League - 19:40 GMT
Athletico Madrid - Fulham take Fulham +0.5
Best odds: 1,81

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Grad betting

POLJSKA: 2. divize
Wisla Plock - KSZO Ostrowiec,win bet Wisla Plock@1,91-bet365

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Professional Tipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
11.05.2010 France Ligue 1
Lyon - Monaco
Lyon -1,-1.5
Kick-off at 18:00 GMT

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cavaliers (-7-1/2) Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's the Penguins. The deficit is 705 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo stopped the bleeding last night when he rolled with the Reds in Pittsburgh to lower the nasty negative number to 200 pinsons.

Today, heeding the counsel of colleague Howard "Howie Hoops" Kussoy, Mr. Aitch will try Marcum over Wakefield (that knucklehead) and Gallardo over Lowe. Ten units apiece on the Blue Jays and Brewers. Also, hockey whiz Tim Sullivan strongly urges a 10-unit play on the Bruins.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
443 - 323 run 58 %

Bonus Play WED Tampa Bay Rays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 442-299 (.596)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 7, best-of-7 series
PITTSBURGH 3, Montreal 2
Game 6, best-of-7 series
PHILADELPHIA 3, Boston 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, MAY 12

NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Diego (20-12) at San Francisco (18-13)

The top two teams in the N.L. West continue their three-game series at AT&T Park, with the Giants’ Matt Cain (2-1, 2.79 ERA) looking to end his struggles against the Padres when he opposes lefty Clayton Richard (1-2, 3.34). San Diego stranded a whopping 15 runners on base and failed to capitalize on 12 walks, but still managed to squeak out a 3-2 victory in Tuesday’s series opener. The Padres have climbed to the top of the division standings thanks to a 15-6 overall run, going 7-3 on the highway during this stretch. On top of that, Bud Black’s team is on positive runs of 8-3 against N.L. West foes, 21-8 against winning teams and 22-5 in the second game of a series. However, San Diego has dropped 38 of 56 Wednesday games and five of seven versus right-handed starters. San Francisco has still won 10 of its last 16 overall, 14 of 20 at AT&T Park (10-6 this season) and 11 of 15 on Wednesday. However, Bruce Bochy’s bunch has now dropped six of eight divisional contests, going 0-4 against the Padres this season. San Diego has held the Giants to a total of four runs in four meetings this season. Also, the Padres have won seven of the last nine matchups dating to last September, but the home team remains on a 16-6 roll in this rivalry. In fact, last year, the host won the first 11 head-to-head battles, and the Padres are still only 4-10 in their last 14 visits to AT&T Park. Richard gave up three runs on six hits and five walks in five innings a week ago against the Rockies, but didn’t factor in the decision as the Padres lost 6-5 at home in 12 innings. It marked the 10th consecutive start in which Richard has held an opponent to three runs or fewer, and he’s got a 3.06 ERA during this stretch. That includes a 3-2 home win over the Giants on April 19 when he outdueled Cain, giving up a run on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings. San Diego has lost four of Richard’s last six starts overall and five of his last seven on the highway. He’s only pitched twice on the road this season, allowing three runs in each game over a total of 12 1/3 innings, with San Diego losing 7-0 in Colorado and 5-4 in Cincinnati. Also, the last time Richard gave up more than three runs in a game was on Sept. 7 in San Francisco, when he got rocked for six runs in four innings of 9-4 loss to the Giants.
After three no-decisions and a loss to begin 2010, Cain is now coming off consecutive victories over the Rockies (6-1 at home) and Marlins (6-3 on the road). He allowed a combined two runs on five hits with 14 strikeouts in 15 innings in the two wins. Cain has yielded three earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts (2.44 ERA), but San Francisco has only managed to split those contests, including two losses in San Diego by a combined score of 5-2. San Francisco has been victorious in 12 of Cain’s last 17 home starts, where the right-hander is 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA in three games this year. However, the Giants are 1-5 in his last six against the N.L. West and 17-35 in his last 52 versus winning teams. Also, with their 3-2 loss in San Diego last month, the Giants are now 3-11 in Cain’s last 14 appearances against the Padres, including 2-5 in the last seven in San Francisco. For his career, Cain is 4-6 despite a stellar 2.91 ERA in 19 starts versus the Padres. The Padres are on “under” streaks of 19-7-1 on the road, 11-4-1 versus the N.L. West, 24-11-3 against right-handed starters and 12-4 against winning teams. Also, the under is 6-2-2 in Richard’s last 10 trips to the mound and 3-0-1 in his last four road starts. San Francisco topped the total in four of its last five games overall, but otherwise the Giants carry “under” trends of 10-1 at home, 8-0 in divisional games, 36-17-1 on Wednesday and 5-1 in the second game of a series. Also, the under is 4-1 both in Cain’s last five starts overall and his last five against the N.L. West.
Finally, in this rivalry, the under has cashed in six straight clashes overall and 10 of 14 in San Francisco.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (21-10) at Detroit (18-14)

The Yankees and Tigers are set to resume their four-game series at Comerica Park with a day-night doubleheader after Tuesday’s game was postponed by rain. In the first game, New York’s Javy Vazquez (1-3, 9.78 ERA) is slated to oppose the Tigers’ Rick Porcello (2-3, 7.50) in a battle of struggling right-handers. Then Phil Hughes (4-0, 1.69) looks to continue his outstanding season when he leads New York against Jeremy Bonderman (1-1, 5.74) in the nightcap. Detroit held off the Yankees 5-4 to take Monday’s series opener and halt a 1-4 slide (all on the road). The Tigers have now won six in a row at home, and they’re 10-3 at Comerica Park this season and 46-22 in their last 68 home contests. Jim Leyland’s club has also won six of eight against the A.L. East, five straight at home against right-handed starters and eight of 11 in the third game of a series. The Yankees have followed up a six-game winning streak with back-to-back losses, but they’ve still won nine of 12 overall, going 4-2 on the road during this stretch. The defending world champs are on additional surges of 40-17 overall, 40-15 against the A.L. Central, 48-15 as a favorite, 62-23 against right-handed starters and 8-2 on the road versus righties. Detroit beat New York 4-2 in last year’s first meeting (in Motown), but the Yankees came back to win the final five clashes by a combined score of 28-11. Despite Monday’s result, the visitor is still on a 7-3 roll in this rivalry, with the Yankees going 4-2 in their last six in Detroit. Vazquez has been a disaster in his second tour of duty with the Yankees, giving up 25 runs in 23 innings and failing to get out of the sixth inning in any of his five starts. After consecutive losses in which he surrendered five runs in 3 2/3 innings at the Angels on April 25 and five runs in three innings against the White Sox on May 1, the Yankees bypassed his spot in the rotation last week. Vazquez is 1-2 with a 9.82 ERA in three road contests this year (giving up five home runs in 14 2/3 innings), and he’s 6-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 13 career starts against the Tigers (2-5, 6.09 ERA in seven starts at Comerica Park). Hughes schooled the Red Sox in Fenway Park on Friday, allowing two runs while whiffing seven in seven innings en route to a 10-3 victory. The right-hander has allowed two runs or fewer in all five starts this season, and he’s 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three home starts. All four of New York’s victories behind Hughes this year have been by multiple runs. The Yankees are 4-1 in Hughes’ last five starts against the A.L. Central and 5-0 in his last five Wednesday outings. Last year, he led New York to an 11-0 win in Detroit, scattering two hits and two walks in six scoreless innings. However, in his first two career starts against the Tigers, Hughes went 0-2 with a 10.24 ERA. Porcello went 14-9 with a 3.96 ERA in 31 starts as a rookie last year, but he’s struggled as a sophomore, posting just one quality start in six trips to the mound. Over his last four outings (three on the road), the right-hander has surrendered 22 runs (20 earned) in 19 innings (9.47 ERA). On Wednesday, he got tagged for five runs (three earned) in 5 1/3 innings of a 5-4 loss at Minnesota. The Tigers have lost four of Porcello’s last five starts overall, but they’re 7-2 in his last nine Comerica outings. In three home starts this season, Porcello is 2-0 despite a hefty 5.51 ERA. Also, he faced New York once in his rookie campaign in 2009, giving up six runs in 3 2/3 innings at home, losing 8-6. Detroit has won each of Bonderman’s last three starts, though the veteran right-hander doesn’t have a decision to show for it. In his most recent outing on May 1, he held the Angels to two runs (one earned) on 10 hits in six innings, with Detroit getting a walk-off 3-2 victory. In two starts at Comerica this season, Bonderman has allowed two earned runs in 11 innings (1.64 ERA), and the Tigers beat the Angels and Indians (4-2). With Bonderman on the bump, Detroit is on runs of 4-1 overall, 5-2 at home and 4-0 on Wednesday, but 2-6 against the A.L. East and 1-7 versus teams with a winning record. Also, the Tigers are 2-5 in Bonderman’s last seven starts against New York overall and 2-5 in his last seven versus the Yankees at home. Overall, Bonderman is 4-7 with a 5.20 ERA in 13 games (12 starts) against the Bronx Bombers, including a 2006 playoff victory. Going back to Vazquez’s first stint with New York in 2004, the Yankees have topped the total in seven of his last eight starts in Pinstripes, four of his last five on Tuesday, four of his last five against the A.L. Central and 10 straight against winning teams. The over is also 5-0-1 in Hughes’ last six starts when pitching on four days’ rest. As a team, New York is riding “over” streaks of 7-3 overall, 18-7-2 on the road, 10-4 versus winning teams, 5-2-1 versus right-handed starters, but the under has cashed in nine of the Yanks’ last 12 on Wednesday The Tigers have topped the total in four of five against the A.L. East, but they’re otherwise on “under” runs of 4-1 at home and 15-5-1 on Wednesday. Also, the over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last five starts, but with Bonderman pitching, the under is on surges of 14-6-2 overall, 3-1-2 when he pitches at home and 9-1 when he works on Wednesday. Finally, the under has cashed in each of the last four Tigers-Yankees battles.

ATS ADVANTAGE (GAME 1): OVER

ATS ADVANTAGE (GAME 2): N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker's Bet of the Day:

Back Over 3.5 Goals at 2.2 in Gremio v Santos

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Moneylineking

Brewers -146 risk 4.38 units to win 3
Blue Jays +11 risk 2 units to win 2.22

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

PittViper

Reds Over 9
Twins -125
Toronto +106

 

[Sleez]

Lance's Lock
Pick: The Angels +105
Overall: 956-847-35
Current Streak: 3 losses

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Foxsheets 5/12

Super Situations
MLB / SEATTLE at BALTIMORE
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BALTIMORE) below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start
62-21 since 1997. ( 74.7% | 32.9 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -1.1 units )


Situational Power Trends

MLB/ FLORIDA at CUBS
FLORIDA is 87-50 (+50.6 Units) against the money line after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits since 1997.
The average score was: FLORIDA (5.1) , OPPONENT (4.3)